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HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
0300 UTC TUE OCT 01 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORES...CORVO...FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...TERCEIRA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO MIGUEL...SANTA MARIA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  41.2W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
50 KT.......170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT.......270NE 300SE 240SW 220NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 420SE 480SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  41.2W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  41.9W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 34.1N  39.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
50 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 240SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 37.8N  34.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 160SE 140SW 110NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 240SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 42.9N  27.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.
50 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW  90NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 270SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 49.0N  21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  80SE  80SW  30NW.
50 KT...140NE 160SE 160SW  90NW.
34 KT...300NE 330SE 330SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 55.0N  10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  80SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 240SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N  41.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 01/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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