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HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
1500 UTC FRI SEP 27 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  42.9W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT.......150NE 130SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT.......230NE 190SE 110SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 360SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  42.9W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  42.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.8N  43.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 190SE 110SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 22.6N  44.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...230NE 190SE 110SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 24.2N  44.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 110SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 25.9N  43.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.6N  41.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 160SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 34.5N  37.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 42.5N  28.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  42.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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