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HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
0900 UTC FRI SEP 27 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  42.1W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  937 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT.......150NE 130SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT.......230NE 190SE 100SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  42.1W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  41.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.1N  42.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 190SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.8N  43.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...230NE 190SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 23.5N  43.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 110SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 25.1N  43.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.7N  41.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 33.3N  37.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 40.0N  30.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N  42.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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