Hurricane LORENZO

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HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
1500 UTC THU SEP 26 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  40.2W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
34 KT.......220NE 120SE  80SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  40.2W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  39.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.7N  41.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
34 KT...220NE 120SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.5N  42.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...220NE 120SE 100SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.2N  43.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 100SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.9N  43.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 25.2N  43.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 29.0N  41.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 34.0N  37.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N  40.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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