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HURRICANE LORENZO SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
1000 UTC THU SEP 26 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  39.3W AT 26/1000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  40SE  20SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE  90SE  80SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 280SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  39.3W AT 26/1000Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  38.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.0N  40.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE 100SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.7N  41.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE 100SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.5N  43.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 100SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.2N  43.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 24.6N  43.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 28.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 33.0N  38.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  39.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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