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TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
2100 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  31.0W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  31.0W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  30.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 13.2N  33.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  40SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 13.8N  35.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...190NE 120SE  70SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.5N  38.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...190NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.6N  40.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.8N  42.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.9N  45.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 24.9N  45.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  31.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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