ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
0900 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  28.0W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  20SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  28.0W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  27.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 12.6N  30.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 13.3N  32.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 13.9N  35.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE  60SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.4N  38.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.0N  41.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 100SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 20.0N  44.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 23.0N  46.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N  28.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


NNNN