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TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
0300 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  26.7W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  40SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  26.7W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  26.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 12.1N  28.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 12.8N  31.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 13.4N  34.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  60SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.0N  37.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  70SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.1N  41.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE  70SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 19.0N  44.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 22.0N  46.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N  26.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO


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