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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Karen Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122019
800 AM AST Tue Sep 24 2019

...HEAVY RAINS FROM KAREN MOVING ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS,
CULEBRA, AND VIEQUES...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 65.8W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM WSW OF ST. CROIX
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM S OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
progress of Karen.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karen was
located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near
latitude 17.2 North, longitude 65.8 West. Karen is moving toward the
north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to
continue today. A north-northeastward motion is forecast tonight
through Wednesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Karen
will pass near or over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today, and
then move over the western Atlantic tonight and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure just reported by the Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Rainfall:  Karen is expected to produce the following rainfall
accumulations through Wednesday:

Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands...2 to 4 inches, isolated 8
inches.
Leeward Islands...1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches.

These rains may cause flash flooding and mudslides, especially in
mountainous areas.

WIND:  Tropical-storm-force winds, especially in gusts, are expected
in the warning area by late morning.  Winds could be higher on the
windward sides of hills and mountains, and also in elevated terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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