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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Karen Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122019
1100 AM AST Wed Sep 25 2019

...CENTER OF KAREN MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
ATLANTIC...
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO, THE VIRGIN ISLANDS, AND
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 64.9W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karen was
located near latitude 21.7 North, longitude 64.9 West.  Karen is
moving toward the north near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A north-
northeastward to northeastward motion with a decrease in forward
speed is expected through early Friday.  Karen is then expected to
slow down and make a clockwise loop over the southwestern Atlantic
into the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Rainfall:  Karen is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 2 inches across Puerto Rico and the Virgin
Islands, with isolated storm totals of 8 inches.

These rains may cause flash flooding and mudslides, especially in
mountainous areas. Some areas in southeastern Puerto Rico have
already received up to 5 inches of rainfall, which has caused some
flooding.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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