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TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122019
1500 UTC THU SEP 26 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  63.3W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  63.3W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  63.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 27.6N  62.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 28.1N  61.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 28.0N  60.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 27.8N  60.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.3N  63.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 27.1N  66.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 27.0N  69.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N  63.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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