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TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122019
0300 UTC THU SEP 26 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  63.6W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  63.6W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  63.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.0N  62.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 27.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 28.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 28.3N  60.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 27.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 26.6N  64.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 26.5N  67.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N  63.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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