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Tropical Depression ELEVEN


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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eleven Special Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112019
1200 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS NEAR THE TEXAS COAST...
...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 95.4W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSW OF FREEPORT TEXAS
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SW OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the coast of Texas
from Sargent to Port Bolivar.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sargent to Port Bolivar

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next few hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 PM CDT (1700 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven
was located near latitude 28.7 North, longitude 95.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue through early
Wednesday. A north-northwestward motion is expected Wednesday night
and Thursday.  On the forecast track, the center of the depression
will move inland over the Upper Texas coast later today, and move
farther inland tonight and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible before the center moves
onshore.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulation of 5 to 10 inches with isolated maximum of 15 inches
across the upper coastal region of Texas into far southwest
Louisiana through Thursday.  This rainfall may produce life-
threatening flash floods.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the
warning area this afternoon and evening.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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