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Tropical Storm Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 29A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102019
200 PM AST Tue Sep 24 2019

...JERRY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.9N 69.1W
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 010 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was
located near latitude 30.9 North, longitude 69.1 West.  Jerry is
moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h).  A turn to the
northeast is expected by tonight, followed by a turn to the
east-northeast on Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the center of
Jerry is expected to pass near Bermuda on Wednesday.

Reports from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane indicate that the
maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few
days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Jerry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda by
early Wednesday.

RAINFALL:  Jerry is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rainfall
across Bermuda through Wednesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Jerry are beginning to increase along
the coast of Bermuda, and they will continue to affect the island
during the next few days.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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