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Post-Tropical Cyclone JERRY


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BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry Advisory Number  32
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102019
500 AM AST Wed Sep 25 2019

...JERRY BECOMES POST-TROPICAL...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 67.9W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry
was located near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 67.9 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 7 mph (11
km/h). A continued northeasterly motion is expected through today,
followed by a turn toward the east on Thursday. On the forecast
track, the center of Jerry is expected to pass near Bermuda later
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Jerry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda by this
afternoon and could continue through this evening.

RAINFALL:  Jerry is expected to produce 1 inch or less of rainfall
across Bermuda through tonight.

SURF:  Swells generated by Jerry will continue to affect Bermuda
during the next few days.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

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