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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number  27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102019
1100 PM AST Mon Sep 23 2019

...JERRY MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC...
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.2N 68.3W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was
located near latitude 29.2 North, longitude 68.3 West.  Jerry is
moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this
general motion should continue through tonight.  A turn to the
northeast is expected on Tuesday, followed by a turn to the
east-northeast on Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the center of
Jerry is expected to pass near Bermuda by early Wednesday.

Recent data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that Jerry's maximum sustained winds remain near
65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 991 mb (29.26 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Jerry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda by
Wednesday.

RAINFALL:  Jerry is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rainfall
across Bermuda through Wednesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Jerry are beginning to increase along
the coast of Bermuda, and they will continue to affect the island
during the next few days.  Swells will affect portions of the
northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico for another day or so.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

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