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TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102019
2100 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  69.0W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  69.0W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  69.1W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.9N  67.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.9N  65.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 33.7N  62.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 130SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 34.4N  60.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 34.5N  56.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 33.0N  54.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N  69.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 25/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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