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TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102019
2100 UTC MON SEP 23 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  68.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 150SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  68.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  68.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.6N  68.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.9N  68.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.1N  66.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 33.3N  64.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 35.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 36.0N  53.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 35.0N  50.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N  68.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 24/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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