Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm HUMBERTO


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019               
1500 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   4(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   3(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  3   3( 6)   4(10)   3(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
FLORENCE SC    34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  3   2( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  3   3( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  3   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
FT LAUDERDALE  34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  70(83)   1(84)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  50(51)   1(52)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  26(27)   1(28)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  3   4( 7)   3(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
NNNN