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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
2100 UTC FRI SEP 13 2019
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 10(22) 1(23)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) X(11)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 10(29) 1(30)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 10(29) X(29)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 5(14) X(14)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) X(14)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 23(32) 7(39) 1(40)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) X(15)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 20(29) 5(34) X(34)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 2(16) X(16)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14) X(14)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 12(30) 1(31) X(31)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14)
THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 9(28) 1(29) X(29)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15) 7(22) X(22) X(22)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
W PALM BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 27(29)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 1 5( 6) 8(14) 5(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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