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Tropical Storm Humberto Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092019
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

...CENTER OF HUMBERTO PASSING JUST EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND...
...MOST THE HEAVY SQUALLS ARE OCCURING NORTH AND EAST OF THE
CENTER...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 76.6W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM E OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Humberto was
located near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 76.6 West. Humberto is
moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight.  A turn toward the north-
northwest is expected by Sunday and a slower northward to
northeastward motion is forecast to occur by Monday.  On the
forecast track, the system will gradually move away from the
northwestern Bahamas later today, and then will move well offshore
of the east coast of Florida this weekend and early next week.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and Humberto is expected
to become a hurricane by Sunday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
to the north and east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force
reconnaissance plane was 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area in the northwestern Bahamas today. These winds should subside
later today.

RAINFALL: Humberto is expected to produce the following total
rainfall accumulations through Monday:

The Bahamas...2 to 4 inches, isolated maximum amounts 6 inches.
Portions of the Florida and Georgia coasts...1 to 2 inches.

STORM SURGE: Humberto is not expected to product significant
storm surge in the northwestern Bahamas.

SURF:  Swells generated by Humberto are expected to increase and
effect the coast from east-central Florida to South Carolina late
this weekend and early next week.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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