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HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
0300 UTC WED SEP 18 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  71.0W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  75 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..190NE 230SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  71.0W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  71.6W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 32.0N  68.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 33.4N  65.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 38.6N  60.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 42.5N  56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 44.0N  44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 49.0N  26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N  71.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 18/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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