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HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
1500 UTC MON SEP 16 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN AND AROUND BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HUMBERTO SINCE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR
BERMUDA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  76.5W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 130SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  76.5W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  76.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.1N  75.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.4N  74.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.7N  72.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.3N  70.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.7N  65.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 37.9N  60.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 40.8N  56.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N  76.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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