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HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
0900 UTC MON SEP 16 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN AND AROUND BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HUMBERTO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  77.3W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 130SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  77.3W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  77.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.0N  76.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.3N  75.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.6N  73.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 33.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 37.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 40.0N  58.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N  77.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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