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TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  77.7W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  77.7W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  77.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 29.0N  77.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.6N  77.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.1N  76.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.5N  75.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.3N  71.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 33.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 38.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.3N  77.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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