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TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
2100 UTC SAT SEP 14 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  77.3W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  77.3W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  77.1W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 28.2N  77.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 29.3N  78.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.9N  77.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.5N  76.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.2N  73.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  80SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 32.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 36.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N  77.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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