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TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
1500 UTC SAT SEP 14 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCLUDING ANDROS ISLAND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  76.7W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  76.7W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  76.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 27.6N  77.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 28.7N  78.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 29.5N  78.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  80SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 31.5N  70.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 34.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N  76.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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