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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082019
2100 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  46.5W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  20SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  46.5W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  45.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 32.9N  48.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 34.9N  49.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 37.7N  48.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 40.8N  45.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 46.0N  33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 52.0N  17.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N  46.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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