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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082019
1500 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  43.7W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......160NE  70SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  43.7W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  43.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 32.4N  45.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  70SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 34.1N  47.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 36.5N  47.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 39.4N  46.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 45.0N  37.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 51.5N  22.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N  43.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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