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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082019
2100 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  39.6W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  39.6W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  39.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 29.3N  41.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  30SE  30SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.8N  44.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 32.2N  47.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.9N  48.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 38.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 44.0N  38.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 53.0N  23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N  39.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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