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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fernand Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072019
1000 AM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE SPREADING INLAND OVER
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 97.3W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Altamira to the Mouth of the Rio Grande River

Interests along the lower Texas coast should monitor the progress of
this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fernand was
located near latitude 24.2 North, longitude 97.3 West. Fernand is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A motion
toward the west or west-northwest is expected today, and the center
of Fernand is forecast to cross the northeastern coast of Mexico
this afternoon or evening, and move farther inland tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected before the center moves
onshore.  Once inland, rapid weakening is expected, and Fernand
should dissipate on Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Fernand is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Friday:

Northeast Mexico: Tamaulipas and Central/Southern Nuevo Leon: 6 to
12 inches with isolated 18 inches, highest along the immediate Gulf
Coast and in the Sierra Madre Oriental.  This rainfall may cause
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

Northern Nuevo Leon and Southern Coahuila: 3 to 6 inches.

South Texas and the Lower Texas Coast: 2 to 4 inches, isolated 6
inches.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of
the warning area through this afternoon.  Squalls with gusts to
tropical storm force are likely north of the warning area along
portions of the lower Texas coast.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible across far South Texas
through this evening.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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