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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane DORIAN


ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  57                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019               
1500 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
42.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   9( 9)  11(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  4  44(48)   2(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34 17  63(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X  24(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
PTX BASQUES    34 41  57(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
PTX BASQUES    50  X  83(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
PTX BASQUES    64  X  24(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  50 79  19(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
EDDY POINT NS  64  5  36(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 
SYDNEY NS      34 86  12(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
SYDNEY NS      50  5  78(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
SYDNEY NS      64  X  17(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34 78   1(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
SABLE ISLAND   50  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
HALIFAX NS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HALIFAX NS     50 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
HALIFAX NS     64 57   2(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
YARMOUTH NS    50 60   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 
MONCTON NB     34 84   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
MONCTON NB     50  9   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ST JOHN NB     34 71   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 
EASTPORT ME    34 30   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
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