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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane DORIAN


ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  56                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019               
0900 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
39.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)  10(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X  30(30)  11(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X  53(53)  20(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   2( 2)  13(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X  85(85)  10(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
PTX BASQUES    50  X  21(21)  47(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   1( 1)  13(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  9  89(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X  50(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  6  87(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
SYDNEY NS      50  X  58(58)   2(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34 37  35(72)   1(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34 96   4(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HALIFAX NS     50  1  86(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
HALIFAX NS     64  X  31(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34 94   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
YARMOUTH NS    50 23   7(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
MONCTON NB     34  6  58(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 
ST JOHN NB     34 16  31(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  6  10(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               
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