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HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 51
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019
0300 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
33.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) X(27) X(27)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 48(52) X(52) X(52)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 59(68) X(68) X(68)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) X(24) X(24)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 50(50) 33(83) X(83) X(83)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 28(40) X(40) X(40)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 34(34) 43(77) X(77) X(77)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) X(31) X(31)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 55(55) 6(61) X(61) X(61)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 74(74) 3(77) X(77) X(77)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 28(28) 9(37) X(37) X(37)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 44(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 9(25) X(25) X(25)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WORCESTER MA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HYANNIS MA 34 X 5( 5) 13(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X 7( 7) 21(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HARTFORD CT 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW LONDON CT 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
ISLIP NY 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEWARK NJ 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TRENTON NJ 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ALLENTOWN PA 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PHILADELPHIA 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BALTIMORE MD 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DOVER DE 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WASHINGTON DC 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 5 7(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 7 11(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
WALLOPS CDA 34 5 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
RICHMOND VA 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DANVILLE VA 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK NAS 34 11 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
NORFOLK VA 34 18 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 29 2(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 74 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
ELIZABETH CTY 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GREENSBORO NC 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
RALEIGH NC 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ROCKY MT NC 34 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 74 15(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHERRY PT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHERRY PT NC 50 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
CHERRY PT NC 64 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW RIVER NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW RIVER NC 64 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SURF CITY NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SURF CITY NC 64 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 64 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FLORENCE SC 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBIA SC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LITTLE RIVER 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LITTLE RIVER 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LITTLE RIVER 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLESTON SC 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 31-Dec-2019 12:09:15 UTC