ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
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TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019
0300 UTC TUE AUG 27 2019
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 27(29)
W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31)
FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17)
MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15)
HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16)
MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11)
NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 36(41)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 32(45)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 21(33)
ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 11(39)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 39(41) 7(48)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 36(47) 2(49)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 1(16)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 38(40) 14(54) X(54)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 6(18) 1(19)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 41(45) 2(47) X(47)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15)
PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 29(35) X(35) X(35)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)
SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PONCE PR 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 53(61) 2(63) X(63) X(63)
PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 52(54) 6(60) X(60) X(60)
AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18)
AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 27(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35)
SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
VIEQUES PR 34 X 2( 2) 25(27) 22(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50)
VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 10(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT CROIX 34 X 2( 2) 36(38) 7(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
SABA 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
BARBUDA 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ANTIGUA 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GUADELOUPE 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
AVES 34 1 71(72) 16(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
AVES 50 X 24(24) 18(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
AVES 64 X 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
DOMINICA 34 5 18(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
MARTINIQUE 34 59 7(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
MARTINIQUE 50 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAINT LUCIA 34 79 3(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
SAINT LUCIA 50 15 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
SAINT LUCIA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SAINT VINCENT 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARBADOS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 31-Dec-2019 12:09:14 UTC