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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression FIVE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019               
1500 UTC SAT AUG 24 2019                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CURACAO        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
 
PONCE PR       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  23(26)
PONCE PR       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
PONCE PR       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
AGUADILLA PR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)
AGUADILLA PR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
SAN JUAN PR    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  20(23)
SAN JUAN PR    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
VIEQUES PR     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  29(39)
VIEQUES PR     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)
VIEQUES PR     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  24(34)
SAINT THOMAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
SAINT THOMAS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  28(43)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)
SAINT CROIX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  12(27)
SAINT MAARTEN  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
SAINT MAARTEN  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
SABA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)  14(33)
SABA           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
SABA           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
ST EUSTATIUS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)  13(33)
ST EUSTATIUS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)
ST EUSTATIUS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  21(23)  11(34)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)   5(23)
BARBUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
BARBUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  22(25)   5(30)
ANTIGUA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)
ANTIGUA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  28(33)   3(36)
GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)
GUADELOUPE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  36(38)  17(55)
AVES           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  10(23)
AVES           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  39(49)   3(52)
DOMINICA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   2(17)
DOMINICA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)  36(52)   2(54)
MARTINIQUE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)   1(19)
MARTINIQUE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)  30(47)   2(49)
SAINT LUCIA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  14(18)   1(19)
SAINT LUCIA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  24(36)   1(37)
SAINT VINCENT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   1(15)
SAINT VINCENT  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
BARBADOS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  31(32)  11(43)   X(43)
BARBADOS       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   5(15)   X(15)
BARBADOS       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
GRENADA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)   X(16)
GRENADA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
GRENADA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
TRINIDADTOBAGO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)
 
JUANGRIEGO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
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