ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019
2100 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LANTANA TO THE
VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE.

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY
LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE.

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM JUPITER INLET TO THE
VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY
LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LANTANA TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO LANTANA
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCLUDING ANDROS ISLAND
* JUPITER INLET TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANDROS ISLAND
* NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO JUPITER INLET
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO JUPITER INLET

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO DEERFIELD BEACH
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION
OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE
WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A
LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM
RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.
PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN...AS ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  77.3W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  910 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 195 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  77.3W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  77.1W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.7N  78.1W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 26.8N  78.7W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 27.7N  79.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 30.0N  80.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 33.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 36.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N  77.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 02/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


NNNN