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HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019
0900 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO SEBASTIAN
INLET IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO
DEERFIELD BEACH.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCLUDING ANDROS ISLAND
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANDROS ISLAND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO SEBASTIAN INLET
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO DEERFIELD BEACH
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS
MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  76.0W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  934 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  76.0W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  75.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 26.6N  77.1W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.7N  78.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 26.9N  78.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 28.9N  79.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 31.8N  79.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 34.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N  76.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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