ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA

TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019
1500 UTC WED AUG 28 2019

CORRECTED DAY 5 INTENSITY FORECAST TO 100 KT.

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO SAMANA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  64.5W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  64.5W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  64.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.7N  65.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.4N  68.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.2N  69.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 26.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 27.7N  77.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 28.6N  80.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  64.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 28/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


NNNN