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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042019
0300 UTC WED AUG 21 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N  56.2W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  85 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N  56.2W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.1N  57.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 40.3N  52.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 40.2N  48.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 39.0N  44.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 37.4N  42.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 34.9N  42.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 34.6N  44.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 36.0N  44.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.2N  56.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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