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TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022019
0300 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WHITING FLD FL 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PENSACOLA FL 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MOBILE AL 34 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GULFPORT MS 34 12 7(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
STENNIS MS 34 9 22(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
BURAS LA 34 52 4(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JACKSON MS 34 2 10(12) 3(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 71 10(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 12 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 57 X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 68 25(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 9 41(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
BATON ROUGE LA 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 67 15(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
MORGAN CITY LA 64 4 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 4 51(55) 14(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X 7( 7) 7(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 70 27(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
LAFAYETTE LA 50 5 46(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
LAFAYETTE LA 64 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 88 10(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
NEW IBERIA LA 50 15 42(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
NEW IBERIA LA 64 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 57 1(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 1 6( 7) 6(13) 2(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
FORT POLK LA 34 3 39(42) 11(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
FORT POLK LA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LAKE CHARLES 34 11 54(65) 2(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
LAKE CHARLES 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAMERON LA 34 45 23(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
JASPER TX 34 2 18(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
KOUNTZE TX 34 2 13(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 4 20(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
GALVESTON TX 34 5 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
HOUSTON TX 34 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FREEPORT TX 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 7 7(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
MATAGORDA TX 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PORT O CONNOR 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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