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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Willa Advisory Number  17...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP242018
400 AM CDT Wed Oct 24 2018

Corrected location relative to Durango Mexico

...WILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED OVER WEST-CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 103.6W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM ENE OF DURANGO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Willa
was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 103.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h) and
this motion is expected to continue today. The forecast track will
continue to bring Wilma farther inland over west-central and
northern Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast and Willa is expected to
dissipate by early afternoon.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE:  Storm surge levels along portions of the coast of
southwestern Mexico in southern Sinaloa and Nayarit will gradually
subside this morning.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall associated with Willa will continue to diminish
today as the depression weakens.   Additional rainfall totals of 2
to 4 inches with maximum totals of 6 inches possible from eastern
Durango, northern Zacateca and southern Coahuila.  This rain will
cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND:  Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface
winds indicated in this advisory.

SURF:  Large swells generated by Willa will continue to affect
portions of the coast of southwestern and west-central mainland
Mexico, and the coast of the southern Baja California peninsula
during the next day or so.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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