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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
1000 PM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018

...VICENTE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 102.0W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 102.0 West. Vicente is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).  This general
motion is expected to continue through landfall on Tuesday in
southwestern Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Vicente is expected to be a tropical
depression at landfall on Tuesday, then rapidly weaken and
dissipate late that day over the Sierra Madre mountains.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Vicente or its remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through Tuesday
over portions of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico.
This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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