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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
400 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...TROPICAL STORM VICENTE FORMS SOUTH OF GUATEMALA...
...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR, GUATEMALA,
AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DUE TO HEAVY RAINS...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.3N 92.2W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM WSW OF PUERTO SAN JOSE GUATEMALA
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF TAPACHULA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of the depression.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 92.2 West.  Vicente is
moving slowly toward the northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h).  A turn
toward the west and west-southwest, with some increase in forward
speed, is expected through the weekend.  On the forecast track, the
center of Vicente should gradually move away from the coasts of
Guatemala and southeastern Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next couple of days.

Vicente is a small tropical storm, and tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Through Wednesday morning, Vicente is expected to
produce 5 to 10 inches of rain with local amounts to 15 inches
across portions of El Salvador and southern Guatemala, with 3 to 6
inches and local amounts to 10 inches near the Pacific coast of
southeastern Mexico.  This rainfall could produce life-threatening
flash flooding and landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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