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TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212018
2100 UTC THU OCT 11 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO
CABO SAN LAZARO
* EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM MULEGE TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
SERGIO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 116.7W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 116.7W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 117.5W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.5N 114.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 28.5N 110.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.0N 107.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 116.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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