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HURRICANE ROSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018
2100 UTC WED SEP 26 2018
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ROSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70
KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
IS GUADALUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16)
IS GUADALUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16)
PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLA CLARION 34 3 41(44) 7(51) 2(53) 3(56) 1(57) X(57)
ISLA CLARION 50 X 6( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ISLA CLARION 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
15N 115W 34 1 14(15) 5(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
15N 115W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 115W 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 7(20) 3(23) 1(24)
20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 13(22)
25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
15N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 1(13) X(13)
20N 120W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 56(68) 12(80) X(80)
20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 11(45) 1(46)
20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 9(26) X(26)
25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 17(50)
25N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 9(19)
25N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
30N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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