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TROPICAL STORM ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202018
1500 UTC MON OCT 01 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO CABO SAN QUINTIN

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
ROSA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 116.5W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 130SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 116.5W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 116.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 28.9N 115.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.3N 114.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 34.3N 112.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.0N 112.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 116.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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