ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202018
1500 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
ROSA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS
MORNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 118.6W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 118.6W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 118.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.9N 117.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 27.5N 116.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 29.3N 115.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.8N 114.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.5N 111.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 118.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN