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TROPICAL STORM ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018
0300 UTC WED SEP 26 2018
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 109.7W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 30SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 109.7W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.3W
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.5N 110.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.3N 114.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.6N 115.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.8N 119.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 20.0N 120.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 22.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 109.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
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FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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