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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192018
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
300 PM MDT Wed Sep 19 2018

...HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY OVER NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO WITH FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 111.2W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM N OF LORETO MEXICO
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SSW OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in northwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Nineteen-E was located near latitude 27.0 North, longitude 111.2
West. The depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15
km/h). On this forecast track, the depression is expected to move
inland over northwestern Mexico late this evening with dissipation
on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected before the system moves inland
over northwestern Mexico, however steady weakening is forecast
thereafter with dissipation expected on Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches in the Mexican states of Sonora and
northern Sinaloa, and 2 to 4 inches in Baja California and western
Chihuahua. Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible in
Sonora and northern Sinaloa. This rainfall may cause
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.

Moisture associated with the depression and eventually its remnants
will also lead to areas of heavy rain and a heightened risk of
flash flooding in the Southwest United States today through
Thursday, and in the southern Plains beginning Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Orrison/Blake

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